Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 4 Aug 2025, the highest close was 8.5% on 2 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 0.1% on 4 Aug 2025. $110.54K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 4 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 8.5% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elPolloLoco | Yes | 40.25K |
| bombo | Yes | 14.67K |
| mango0x | Yes | 12.77K |
| Fxcksxrco | Yes | 523.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-28-august-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Vitalii19 | Yes | 50 |
