
Resolved No on 14 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 14 Jul 2025, the highest close was 17% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 14 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 2.6% on 11 Jul 2025. $24.6K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 14 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 17.0% |
| 14 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Denys998 | Yes | 125.42 |
| tweek | Yes | 22.24 |
| royyanrahmad1 | Yes | 4.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bitcoin Hit Price market this week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-before-july-14
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