Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.3M

Resolved

Settled

Sep 1, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 49% on 3 Aug 2025 and the lowest 1.4% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 32.5% on 26 Aug 2025. $2.3M traded over the market's life.

77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:15 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
LiquidateSaylor	Yes	61.46K
printa	Yes	36.96K
MarketCrash	Yes	27.24K
exceeding	Yes	23.36K

10 of 77 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.