Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 October 27-November 2?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$325.4K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 3, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 3 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 3 Nov 2025, the highest close was 19.7% on 30 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 3 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 2.8% on 1 Nov 2025. $325.44K traded over the market's life.

61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 8:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 3 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–25%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Oct 2025	7.5%
3 Nov 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
UlixesMaximus	Yes	27.6K
TMXMKZR	Yes	21K
topseller	Yes	10.94K
AhaTheLaserFields	Yes	10K

10 of 61 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.