Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2023 to 1 May 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 28 Mar 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 30 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 23% on 29 Mar 2023. $3.43K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 28 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Awkward-Capitulation | Yes | 492.86 |
| cyklofasista | Yes | 148.53 |
| Deadly-Siding | No | 106.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Binance.US announces it will remove the ability to open new spot positions for a majority of its listed assets by April 30, 2023 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Binance.US announces by April 30, 2023 that they will remove the ability to open new spot positions for a majority of its listed assets, the market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the removal occurs after that date. Whether or not Binance.US continues to accept new accounts will have no bearing on this market's resolution. Outages due to maintenance or bugs will not suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” - it must be a deliberate announcement including removal of the ability to open new spot positions. The primary resolution source will be information from Binance.US, Binance.US's legal representatives, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), and/or Brian Shroder, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-binanceus-shut-down-by-april-30
| Yes |
| 20 |
| Bite-Sized-Doctorate | No | 1.01 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 0.22 |
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