Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 7% on 27 Jun 2025 and the low 0.2% on 25 Jul 2025. $26.73K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 36 points · 27 Jun 2025 – 1 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 7.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| froggyxbt | Yes | 2.21K |
| boro09 | Yes | 512.74 |
| TiffanyTheBusinessCat | Yes | 300 |
| hernik12 | Yes | 216.22 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman announces that he is running for Mayor of New York City in the 2025 mayoral election, by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Bill Ackman will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually files a nomination to run, or whether he later files a nomination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Bill Ackman (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bill-ackman-announce-nyc-mayoral-run-before-august
| Eladka | Yes | 81.08 |
| krassy03 | Yes | 62.39 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 50.39 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 48 |
| Davidpetrovic | Yes | 42.04 |
| SoWhy | Yes | 27.03 |
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