Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the highest close was 85% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 40.5% on 25 Jun 2026. $1.19K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 11:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 24 Jun 2026 – 9 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 72.5% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nicksypoo | No | 155.05 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
| POB1 | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the teams making the Grand Finals at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. If the competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the MSI 2026 Finals matchup is not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution source: lolesports.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-make-msi-2026-finals-20260622172024823
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