Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 44%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2024 to 6 Jul 2024, the highest close was 56% on 6 Jul 2024 and the lowest 37% on 4 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 37% on 4 Jul 2024. $15.69K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 3:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Jul 2024 – 6 Jul 2024, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jul 2024 | 56.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grandiose-Mood | Yes | 1.1K |
| alpador | Yes | 21.73 |
| fireponbabylon | Yes | 0.03 |
| 090x | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Joe Biden is scheduled to interview with ABC . This market refers to anything Biden says during initial airing of the interview, currently scheduled for Friday, July 5. Further airings of the interview after the initial release which include new footage will not be considered for this market. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Drop out". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no Biden-ABC interview is publicly released by July 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is the first released video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-in-abc-interview
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