Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.4%. Yes opened at 96.7% on 31 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 31 May 2024 to 4 Jun 2024, the highest close was 99.4% on 1 Jun 2024 and the lowest 96.7% on 31 May 2024. $16.54K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 5, 7:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 31 May 2024 – 4 Jun 2024, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 May 2024 | 96.7% |
| 4 Jun 2024 | 99.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TheRedPyramid28 | No | 57.27 |
| baggot | Yes | 0.01 |
| KLKHJLJK | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On May 30 it was reported that the Biden administration is reconsidering a longstanding precautionary measure of prohibiting the use of American-supplied weapons for strikes inside Russian territory (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-strike-inside-russia-using-us-weapons-biden-debate-nato-macron-rcna154442). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. allows Ukraine to use American-supplied weapons for attacks inside Russian territory by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming American weapons being used by Ukraine for attacks within Russia.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-let-ukraine-strike-russia-with-us-weapons
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
