Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.5%. Yes opened at 17% on 19 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 17% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 5.5% on 21 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 9.5% on 20 Jul 2024. $84.2K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | 17.0% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 5.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 49.6K |
| cleppi | Yes | 3.13K |
| KingVersom | Yes | 1.07K |
| ChampagneChaos | Yes | 800 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
g asd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-biden-drop-out
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Kooky-Download | Yes | 500 |
| Dapper | Yes | 300 |
| Bogus-Bifocals | Yes | 250 |
| jscreen | Yes | 100 |
| Kashiha | Yes | 35.71 |
| neludik | Yes | 20 |
