Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 14 Feb 2026, the highest close was 49% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 29% on 8 Feb 2026. $20.98K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 14 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 14 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sad-Bookmark | Yes | 1.14K |
| abusive | Yes | 713.79 |
| Jabb199728 | Yes | 650 |
| greenbets13 | Yes | 342.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bernie Sanders is scheduled to participate in a Fighting Oligarchy rally in North Carolina on February 13, 2026 (see https://act.berniesanders.com/signup/rsvp-oligarchy-durham/?source=website-oligarchy). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bernie Sanders says the listed term during his appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally on February 13, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Bernie Sanders's appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally in North Carolina at 2PM ET on February 13. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFt2qzhnodw
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bernie-sanders-say-in-north-carolina-on-february-13
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 152 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| AZERTP | Yes | 76.92 |
| Elhambigzad1 | Yes | 66.67 |
| 9735 | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
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