Analytics
Resolved No on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48.5%. Yes opened at 35% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 6 May 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 35% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 48.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $551.65K traded over the market's life.
404 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 35.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cobalt Comet 18EC | Yes | 80.71K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 28.15K |
| Afraid-Owl | Yes | 15.88K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-reach-final
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