Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 22 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58.5% on 23 Sep 2025 and the low 0.1% on 2 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 35% on 31 Oct 2025. $37.52K traded over the market's life.
78 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 104 points · 22 Sep 2025 – 2 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 | 47.5% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 347 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 268.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if BasedApp's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for BasedApp is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value. The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-basedapp-daily-builder-revenue-hit-1m-in-2025
| Yes |
| 202.17 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 150 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 124 |
| lissartter | Yes | 116.53 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 100 |
| AaronPetersen1473 | Yes | 86 |
| JohnGrant4917 | Yes | 78 |
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