Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72.6%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 30% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 28.5% on 21 Sep 2026. $1.64K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 27.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 27.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Leo1010 | No | 75.76 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 74.32 |
| Violet Ledger EB39 | Yes | 50 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-banksy-post-to-instagram-by-september-30
| Mushy-Ox-Aunt | Yes | 41.2 |
| KG008 | Yes | 29.03 |
| PPMT | Yes | 24.74 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| xiaxiaoqiang2026 | Yes | 5.26 |
| pablosis | Yes | 5.13 |
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