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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 2.23K | $0.953 | $2.17K | +$44.1 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 11h ago |
 |
| No |
| 805 |
| $0.867 |
| $752.68 |
| +$55.08 |
 Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.950 | $472.5 | -$2.5 |
| Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 378.9 | $0.964 | $367.72 | +$2.3 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 375 | $0.826 | $350.06 | +$40.34 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 946.7 | $0.266 | $336.08 | +$84.54 |
 Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 340 | $0.959 | $329.29 | +$3.28 |
 Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 343 | $0.939 | $320.71 | -$1.28 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 843.99 | $0.375 | $308.05 | -$8.12 |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 286.31 | $0.930 | $273.57 | +$7.4 |
 Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 235 | $0.962 | $221.72 | -$4.25 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 422 | $0.422 | $212.06 | +$33.77 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 293.42 | $0.624 | $165.78 | -$17.36 |
 Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 144 | $0.936 | $134.64 | -$0.22 |
 Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028? | No | 150.79 | $0.735 | $112.34 | +$1.53 |
 Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 123.61 | $0.808 | $103.83 | +$3.94 |
 Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 85 | $0.950 | $81.39 | +$0.64 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 507.51 | $0.252 | $73.59 | -$54.08 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.877 | $73.2 | +$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 80 | $0.713 | $68.4 | +$11.33 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 100 | $0.550 | $57.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 59.2 | $0.896 | $56.98 | +$3.92 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | No | 74.99 | $0.731 | $56.24 | +$1.45 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 265.99 | $0.222 | $54.53 | -$4.65 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 89.99 | $0.572 | $49.94 | -$1.55 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.140 |
| $5.6 |
| 11h ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 448.9 | $0.140 | $62.85 | 13h ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 174 | $0.150 | $26.1 | 13h ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.160 | $11.2 | 13h ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes | sell | 41.58 | $0.600 | $24.95 | 13h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | sell | 617.41 | $0.299 | $184.56 | 13h ago |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 234.59 | $0.064 | $15.08 | 13h ago |
| Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.810 | $48.6 | 13h ago |
| Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.61 | $0.800 | $34.89 | 13h ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | 16h ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 16h ago |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.53 | $0.050 | $3.32 | 16h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | buy | 66.66 | $0.330 | $22 | 19h ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.310 | $10.55 | 19h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.320 | $4.8 | 19h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 20h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.310 | $4.65 | 20h ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | 20h ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 167.17 | $0.340 | $56.84 | 20h ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.340 | $68 | 20h ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.198 | $65.36 | 21h ago |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.548 | $54.8 | 22h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 23h ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.660 | $70.62 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.23 | $0.657 | $19.2 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.380 | $3.04 | 2d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.004 | $0.06 | 2d ago |
 Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | 3d ago |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 3d ago |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.340 | $13.6 | 3d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | 3d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 714.98 | $0.666 | $476.04 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.660 | $29.7 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 69.98 | $0.660 | $46.19 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.660 | $33 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.690 | $276 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | 3d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 113.36 | $0.076 | $8.62 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 4d ago |