Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 3 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 58% on 6 Dec 2025 and the low 21.5% on 4 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 52% on 5 Dec 2025. $216.1K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 8, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Dec 2025 – 6 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | 23.5% |
| 6 Dec 2025 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Amor.Fati | No | 16.59K |
| MasonsConqueredRome | No | 7.53K |
| mnemon | No | 6.91K |
| RiskETH | No | 2K |
| Right-Whole | No | 395.64 |
| rd211 | No | 164.27 |
| dartgh | No | 130.37 |
| mannyygg | No | 70 |
| SemyonMarmeladov | No | 66.74 |
| oscarp | No | 55.56 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between Daniel Baluta and Ciprian Ciucu, Daniel Baluta becomes the favorite in the Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election market (https://polymarket.com/event/romania-bucharest-mayoral-election?tid=1764630183061) for any two-hour period ending by December 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daniel Baluta will be considered to have become the favorite for any two-hour period if he is ahead of Ciprian Ciucu in more individual minutes than Ciprian Ciucu is ahead of Daniel Baluta during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-baluta-flip-ciucu-for-bucharest-mayor-by-saturday or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-baluta-flip-ciucu-for-bucharest-mayor-by-saturday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
