Analytics
Yes is at 47.5%, up 4.5 points from 43% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 52 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 43% on 5 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47.5%; a month before, 43%. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 48.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader”.
$66 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.85, with a 47.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VonVonagh with 50 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 58.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 40 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 43.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 47.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 58 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| somecode33 | Yes | 8 |
This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-2026-big-12-passing-tds-leader
5 more markets, none above 46.5%.
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