Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.7% on 16 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2026 to 24 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 0.7% on 16 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Aug 2026. $1.15K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 4:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 16 Jul 2026 – 24 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | 0.7% |
| 24 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.16K |
| merod | Yes | 203 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kazakhstan-kurultai-election-party-winner-20260713224438118
| Yes |
| 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 99.99 |
| balthazar | Yes | 64.55 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 40 |
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