Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9% on 30 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 157 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 30.6% on 23 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 30.6% on 23 Aug 2025. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
134 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 157 points, 30 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2025 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
If Austria has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-austria-join-nato-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 161.94 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 144.97 |
| TheNotoriousJamaloidTheThird | Yes | 100 |
| kamarat | Yes | 99.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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