Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 23 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 33.5% on 23 Oct 2025 and the low 0.8% on 1 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 3% on 24 Oct 2025. $13.42K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 26, 10:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 23 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2025 | 33.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 4K |
| shalre | Yes | 379.7 |
| lissartter | Yes | 244.93 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 233.02 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 135 |
| Shonepancake | Yes | 90.91 |
| BH0000 | Yes | 38.46 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 24 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 16 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlas, the web browser by OpenAI, has a native Windows desktop application publicly available for download in the U.S. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The application must be officially released by OpenAI or through official Atlas communication channels. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-atlas-windows-app-released-by
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