Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 40 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 18 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 23 Aug 2026 and the lowest 7% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8%; a month before, 10%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 52.5% on 23 Aug 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “Serie A: Team to qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League”.
$3.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.49K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 37 trades, $8.1 bought Yes and $1.35K bought No; the largest was a $1.13K buy of No at 80.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 372 shares; the largest No position is extractive-manatee with 517.
Trading closes on 15 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 18 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| extractive-manatee | No | 516.51 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 371.69 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | Yes | 90 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team earns a place in the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League through the 2026-27 Serie A season or by winning a 2026-27 UEFA club competition. Qualifying routes that count include the team’s final 2026-27 Serie A league position, winning a domestic cup competition that carries a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place, and earning a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by winning the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League or Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution is based on the competition to which the listed team is allocated by the final 2026-27 Serie A standings, the 2026-27 domestic cup results, and the 2026-27 UEFA competition winners. A place obtained by playing and advancing through the UEFA qualifying rounds held after the domestic season does not count, and movement between competitions caused by those qualifying rounds has no bearing on resolution. Once it becomes mathematically impossible for the listed team to earn a 2027-28 UEFA Champions League place by these routes, the associated market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET such that the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League places cannot be determined, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/serie-a-team-to-qualify-for-the-2027-28-uefa-champions-league
8 more markets, none above 3.4%.
| UTILIZADOR2 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 21 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Cyberflems | No | 21 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20 |
| WatchTheTape | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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