Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 39 points from 39.5% when the market opened on 3 Jan 2026.
Across the 285 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 39.5% on 3 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 6.5% on 4 Jan 2026.
Asu Almabayev ranks eighth of the 11 outcomes in “Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?”. Joshua Van leads at 96%; Manel Kape is at 1.2%.
$59.21K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.71K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 167 trades, $1.67 bought Yes and $29.89K bought No; the largest was a $4.95K buy of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is LornaPredicts with 441 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.3K. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 285 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 39.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.26K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 440.72 |
| labistiiia | Yes | 356.97 |
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-flyweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026
| Asimtq96 | Yes | 342.98 |
| 61sfds | Yes | 308.52 |
| 2kparabellum | Yes | 299.99 |
| graynotebook19 | Yes | 244.15 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 205.88 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 195.61 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 141.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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