Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 43% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 22 Sep 2026, the highest close was 43% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 1.6% on 26 Jul 2026. $485.95 traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 7:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 22 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 43.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 356.2 |
| korda77 | Yes | 109.83 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 100.1 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tuva on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Tuva gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tuva and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tuva and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tuva-gubernatorial-election-winner-20260724163413491
| Yes |
| 84.12 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 71 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 70.43 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 26.66 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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