Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 49% on 6 Jun 2026 and the low 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $136.57K traded over the market's life.
127 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 11:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 31.91K |
| balthazar | Yes | 29.09K |
| MenacingTurtle | Yes | 21.38K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 2.19K |
| Fearless-Misnomer | Yes | 1.74K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.69K |
| HyperwellNerdZ | Yes | 1.33K |
| Dream-come.true | Yes | 730.2 |
| pred-arbi | Yes | 694 |
| everymarket | Yes | 688.12 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Argentina is eliminated. If Argentina wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Argentina is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Argentina based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-argentina-stage-of-elimination
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