Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 29 Jun 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 29 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 29 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 4.9%. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14% on 30 Jun 2026.
$2.03 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.04K since listing. The order book holds $2.5K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 136 trades, $114.69 bought Yes and $7.88K bought No; the largest was a $2.78K buy of No at 93.0¢.
The largest Yes position is PaddyAlpha with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is AnCap.Investor with 2.2K. Ten wallets hold 93.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 29 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AnCap.Investor | No | 2.17K |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 1.36K |
| Darling-Top | No | 359 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-argentina-dollarize-by-june-30-2026
| Keen Harbor B560 |
| Yes |
| 294.12 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 203.95 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 184.93 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 180 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 132.76 |
| betyourgf | No | 113.64 |
| wenlic | Yes | 75.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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