Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52.5%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 29 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 29 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 47.5% on 31 Jul 2026. $665.9 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 10:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 29 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Perky-Tentacle | Yes | 9.99 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Apple currently scheduled to take place on July 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-apple-say-during-their-next-earnings-call-20260727155548207
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