Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 57% on 13 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 187 daily closes on record from 13 Dec 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83.5% on 15 Feb 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 10% on 9 Jun 2026. $4.24K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 4:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 187 points, 13 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | 57.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AishahSofey | Yes | 326.61 |
| Jimdiggity | Yes | 77.48 |
| scravenly | Yes | 75.86 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new HomePod mini product by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "HomePod mini" and be recognized as a successor to the original HomePod mini product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new HomePod mini product released without a number, under a designation other than HomePod mini 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the HomePod mini and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-homepod-mini-successor-by-june-30
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 30 |
| Amusing-Hostess | No | 27.07 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 15 |
| Webbed-Stitcher | No | 13.13 |
| Neerajedtiz | Yes | 11.54 |
| pm-nothing | No | 11.34 |
| Important-Overweight | Yes | 10.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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