Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 6, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 21 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 21 Feb 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 87% on 1 Mar 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 63 points down, to 12% on 5 Mar 2026.

37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 7:27 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 21 Feb 2026 – 6 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Feb 2026	57.5%
6 Mar 2026	2.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
morilun	Yes	1K
0xRocket666	Yes	200
wendypeekaboo	Yes	200
88mnm88	Yes	150

10 of 37 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Apple is scheduled to host an event in New York City on March 4, 2026. (see: https://9to5mac.com/2026/02/16/apple-announces-special-nyc-event-for-march-4/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the Apple event scheduled for March 4. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by March 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be audio/video of this event.