Analytics
Yes is at 44%, up 11 points from 32.8% when the market opened on 17 Sep 2026.
Across the 37 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.7% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.1% on 24 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 22.9%; a month before, 9.8%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 30.4% on 12 Oct 2026.
Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi is the favourite of the 13 outcomes in “Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?”, ahead of Haniff Hoosen at 40%.
$93.81 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.51K since listing. The order book holds $20.64K, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 85 trades, $501.12 bought Yes and $735.93 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 2.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 97.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 32.8% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 51.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 2.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.71K |
| Dr.PNL | No | 340.63 |
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-mayor-of-ethekwini-durban
1 more outcome, none above 0.1%.
| Neg3318 | Yes | 287.15 |
| JsonStatham | No | 231.34 |
| caseyn6 | No | 161.21 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 95.64 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 60 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 50.38 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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