Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 75% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 1 Aug 2025 and the lowest 75% on 22 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 99.6% on 1 Aug 2025. $3K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 75.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DeltaMu | No | 294 |
| researchtard | No | 260 |
| S888 | No | 210 |
| Bright Vector F38B | No | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Amazon Q2 earnings call is scheduled to take place on July 31, 2025. (aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-earnings-q2-2025-report) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-amazon-q2-2025-earnings-call
| Daan020 | No | 34.4 |
| TWilks | No | 10.26 |
| aartiomm | No | 5.26 |
| PECMTs25 | No | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
