Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2025.
$3.78K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 12:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 7 Aug 2025, chart shows 78%–88%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2025 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwertzu | Yes | 160 |
| bibibubu | Yes | 122.42 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 92 |
| satvik | Yes | 87.88 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 58 |
| Experienced-Creditor | Yes | 35 |
| Jrmdd | Yes | 24.69 |
| sparky2333 | Yes | 10.42 |
| immune4 | Yes | 5.88 |
| mpir | Yes | 3.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
OpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Uu_VJeVVfo&ab_channel=OpenAI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-during-openai-livestream-on-august-7
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