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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.73 |
| Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | sell | 611.97 | $0.051 | $31.44 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.680 | $272 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.610 | $244 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.130 | $137.13 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.650 | $52 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.882 | $52.93 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.588 | $47.03 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.560 | $44.8 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?Yes | buy | 81.65 | $0.680 | $55.52 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?No | sell | 47.16 | $0.660 | $31.13 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 52.4 | $0.950 | $49.78 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin or Zelenskyy first?Putin | buy | 80 | $0.610 | $48.8 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | sell | 98.68 | $0.999 | $98.58 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 416.41 | $0.221 | $92.23 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.056 | $4.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 83.4 | $0.920 | $76.73 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 281.95 | $0.177 | $50 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.310 | $93 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 83.4 | $0.860 | $71.72 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.317 | $47.49 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Open Source" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 10.32 | $0.900 | $9.29 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Open Source" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 38.22 | $0.797 | $30.48 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Open Source" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 73.88 | $0.890 | $65.75 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | sell | 89.81 | $0.700 | $62.87 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.280 | $22.4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 23.51 | $0.650 | $15.28 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Yes | buy | 98.68 | $0.970 | $95.72 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?No | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 65 | $0.720 | $46.8 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | sell | 313.4 | $0.541 | $169.42 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will anyone say "Browser" during the OpenAI livestream on August 7?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.790 | $45.82 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 355.92 | $0.097 | $34.38 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.210 | $136.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 607.02 | $0.018 | $10.87 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 293.4 | $0.521 | $152.73 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.519 | $10.38 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | sell | 100.1 | $0.751 | $75.18 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?No | sell | 120 | $0.900 | $108 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.140 | $98 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?Yes | buy | 103.66 | $0.796 | $82.51 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?No | buy | 120 | $0.794 | $95.32 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 355.93 | $0.084 | $30 | Aug 1, 2025 |