Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 92.5% on 29 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 29 Aug 2025 to 9 Sep 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 9 Sep 2025 and the lowest 92.5% on 29 Aug 2025. $37.34K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 29 Aug 2025 – 9 Sep 2025, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | 92.5% |
| 9 Sep 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 6.23K |
| degen69696 | No | 1K |
| xxrystals2 | No | 1K |
| S888 | No | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Apple has scheduled a launch event for September 9, 2025, 1 PM ET. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H3KnMyojEQU
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/apple-launch-event-mentions-september-9
| emperod | No | 450.77 |
| rafaelpredicts | No | 161.29 |
| SooUnlucky | No | 100 |
| scarydairyraspberry | No | 90 |
| Cats4sale | No | 76.79 |
| Gow13 | No | 74.17 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
