Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 42.5%. Yes opened at 32% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 25 Feb 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 21 Feb 2026 and the lowest 32% on 30 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 41% on 22 Feb 2026. $33.43K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 27, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 25 Feb 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 32.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DaZHT | No | 178.57 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 164 |
| csocsfalo69 | Yes | 74.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any person is ejected or removed against their will from the location of Trump's 2026 State of the Union address, currently scheduled for February 24, 2026 in the Chamber of the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal or ejection consists of a person being ordered to leave, or physically removed from the location of Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. If no State of the Union address takes place by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-be-kicked-out-of-trumps-state-of-the-union-address
| No |
| 50 |
| cabecito | No | 34.53 |
| PX5300 | No | 29.82 |
| iliabouchouev | No | 24.32 |
| Golden Orbit 7059 | No | 19.99 |
| MidAtBest | No | 9.63 |
| Linear-Reflection | No | 9.43 |
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