Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $379.75 | +$129.75 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.500 |
| $120.25 |
| -$129.75 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 50 | $0.840 | $46.25 | +$4.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.860 | $38.5 | +$4.1 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 39.99 | $0.822 | $38.23 | +$5.34 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 30 | $0.820 | $26.25 | +$1.65 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.670 | $25.35 | +$5.25 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 30 | $0.700 | $23.1 | +$2.1 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.540 | $18.7 | +$7.9 |
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.700 | $17 | +$3 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.530 | $16.5 | +$5.9 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.680 | $11.5 | -$2.1 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 10 | $0.510 | $8.25 | +$3.15 |
 Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | Yes | 10 | $0.810 | $8.05 | -$0.05 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $7.15 | +$1.25 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.480 | $5.1 | -$4.5 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | 40 | $0.200 | $3.2 | -$4.8 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 20 | $0.090 | $1.58 | -$0.22 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $1.1 | -$1.3 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.036 | $1.04 | +$0.32 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.430 | $0.95 | -$3.35 |
 Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 60 | $0.018 | $0.15 | -$0.93 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.040 | $0.15 | -$1.85 |
| buy |
| 29.82 |
| $0.940 |
| $28.03 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
 Clavicular unbanned from Youtube by April 30?No | buy | 9.9 | $0.900 | $8.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | sell | 9.94 | $0.840 | $8.35 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 10 | $0.786 | $7.86 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei seen in public by March 3?Yes | buy | 570 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 70.18 | $0.969 | $68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?Yes | buy | 309.75 | $0.002 | $0.62 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamikaze" in February?Yes | sell | 15.65 | $0.070 | $1.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?No | buy | 30 | $0.790 | $23.7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "North Korea" during the next press briefing?No | buy | 7 | $0.820 | $5.74 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.690 | $2.99 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?No | sell | 39.99 | $0.008 | $0.31 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?No | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.093 | $4.93 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?No | sell | 30 | $0.930 | $27.9 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 38.59 | $0.120 | $4.63 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.350 | $2.18 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | sell | 30 | $0.550 | $16.5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.708 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.292 | $2.92 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | sell | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 10.83 | $0.950 | $10.29 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?No | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 1.33 | $0.720 | $0.96 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?No | buy | 15.34 | $0.560 | $8.59 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance say "Dobbs" during the March for Life?Yes | buy | 17.03 | $0.998 | $17 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "N Word" in January?No | buy | 65.03 | $0.918 | $59.7 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.853 | $17.06 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Satya Nadella in January 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Jensen Huang in January 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.87 | $0.170 | $4.91 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.160 | $0.86 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?No | buy | 20 | $0.947 | $18.94 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Yes | sell | 19.07 | $0.730 | $13.92 | Jan 19, 2026 |