Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 62% on 13 Feb 2026 and the low 30% on 7 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 40% on 3 Mar 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 6 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| wendypeekaboo | No | 200 |
| S888 | No | 45 |
| PX5300 | No | 30 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30
| vger7 | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| 16r0ob | Yes | 0.03 |
| 15rob | No | 0.02 |
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