Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 16 Jan 2026 to 9 May 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 77.6% on 5 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 77.6% on 5 Feb 2026. $6.3K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 10, 2:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 16 Jan 2026 – 9 May 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 89.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| e8t | No | 199.99 |
| Ordinary-Group | No | 172.38 |
| Worrisome-Rent | No | 153.78 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least one of the following clubs — Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, or Tottenham Hotspur — fails to qualify for any European (UEFA) football competition (UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, or UEFA Conference League) for the 2026-2027 European season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A club will be considered to have qualified for a UEFA competition if it earns entry into any stage of that competition for the 2026–27 season, including any qualifying round or play-off round. Qualification includes qualifying for any of the 2026-2027 UEFA competitions by winning a 2025-2026 UEFA competition. If European qualification is not officially finalized by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the official determinations available at that time. If at least one of the clubs has not officially qualified for one of the three competitions by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-of-the-big-six-epl-clubs-miss-european-football
| No |
| 100 |
| 2011G | No | 44.89 |
| 3j2ei23098ui | No | 34 |
| Xmannpr | No | 33.33 |
| gazzadk1981 | No | 28.57 |
| Brazzers.ca | No | 13.27 |
| Neon Falcon 791A | No | 11.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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