Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 4.76 | $0.210 | $3.91 | +$2.91 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.080 |
| $2.7 |
| -$5.3 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.420 | $0.88 | -$1.12 |
| buy |
| 14.17 |
| $0.176 |
| $2.5 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Mars release 'The Romantic' before March?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 89 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?No | buy | 660.81 | $0.017 | $11 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will any of the Big Six EPL clubs miss European football?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.016 | $1.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?Yes | buy | 91.82 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 56.21 | $0.089 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 16.16 | $0.720 | $11.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown | buy | 9.69 | $0.500 | $4.84 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.8 | $0.840 | $9.91 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp | buy | 7.04 | $0.210 | $1.48 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 33.22 | $0.090 | $2.99 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETDown | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 526.22 | $0.019 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 18.63 | $0.520 | $9.69 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp | buy | 20.62 | $0.470 | $9.69 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on January 9?Up | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?Up | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?Up | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.154 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.433 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.249 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter Airdrop before January 1?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 57.6 | $0.017 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 310.32 | $0.016 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.005 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 14.4 | $0.450 | $6.48 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?No | buy | 24.03 | $0.416 | $10 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Aster all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.02 | $0.104 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 139.28 | $0.036 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)Sri Lanka | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.060 | $9 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on November 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 |