Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$137.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 18, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 18 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.2%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 18 Aug 2025, the highest close was 6.9% on 18 Aug 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 17 Aug 2025. $137.77K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 4:46 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 18 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Jul 2025	6.5%
18 Aug 2025	6.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
gopfan2	Yes	15.5K
Erlandvf	Yes	11.52K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	2.06K
Snemtala	Yes	1.23K

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).