Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 84% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (11 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 72.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $3.08K traded over the market's life.

16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 2:56 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Apr 2026	84.0%
1 Jul 2026	0.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	Yes	100
lacuna-m1	Yes	79
hitunfar	Yes	38.15

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".