Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 17%. Yes opened at 26% on 11 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2023 to 12 Mar 2023, the highest close was 26% on 11 Mar 2023 and the lowest 17% on 12 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 17% on 12 Mar 2023. $2.66K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 11:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 11 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2023 | 26.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a second US bank fails between March 1, 2023 and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (according to FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/ however other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-another-us-bank-fail-in-march
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