
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 24 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 24 Aug 2024 to 8 Sep 2024, the highest close was 17.1% on 1 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 17.1% on 1 Sep 2024. $67.82K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 9, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 24 Aug 2024 – 8 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2024 | 4.3% |
| 8 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.6K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 3.87K |
| carlodenesik | Yes | 490 |
| Mortified-Hotdog | Yes | 100.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
US Open Winner (M)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-open-winner-m
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| corinthians | No | 0.02 |
| zigmond | No | 0.01 |