Will another party win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Dec 11, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$41.7K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 11, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Dec 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 19 Nov 2024 to 11 Dec 2024, the highest close was 22.5% on 19 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 0.7% on 20 Nov 2024. $41.71K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 7:25 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 19 Nov 2024 – 11 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Nov 2024	22.5%
11 Dec 2024	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	19.39K
EricMaktraher	Yes	250
Braingiant	Yes	111

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

General elections will be held in Ghana on December 7, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a party other than the NPP or NDC wins the most seats in the Ghanaian Parliament a result of the next Ghanaian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Ghanian Government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Ghana (https://ec.gov.gh/).