Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 15% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 15 Nov 2024, the highest close was 15% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.2% on 13 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 0.4% on 9 Nov 2024. $22.63K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 16, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 15 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 15.0% |
| 15 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.73K |
| tverdiNL | Yes | 177.67 |
| ze1en | Yes | 136 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections in Sri Lanka are scheduled for 14 November 2024 to elect 225 members to the new parliament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a coalition other than the SJB, SLPP, pr NPP wins the most seats in the Sri Lankan Parliament as a result of the next Sri Lankan Parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". If voting in the next Sri Lankan Parliamentary elections do not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". In the case of a tie between this party/coalition and any other for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party/coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Sri Lankan Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sri-lanka-legislative-election
| Yes |
| 114 |
| Walamom | Yes | 50 |
| gideon92 | Yes | 0.03 |
| MarkZimmermann | No | 0.03 |
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