Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 6 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 4% on 7 Mar 2026. $114.36K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 6 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2026 | 34.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 128.88K |
| maedina | Yes | 5K |
| pampy | Yes | 3.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election. For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-margin-of-victory
| Yes |
| 1.91K |
| mymacbook | Yes | 1.66K |
| ACara | Yes | 1.57K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 1.47K |
| LR1 | Yes | 1.4K |
| nogodcomplex | Yes | 999.54 |
| gergogoots | Yes | 953.97 |
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