Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$48.8K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 29.5% on 9 Jan 2026. $48.76K traded over the market's life.

36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Dec 2025	38.0%
1 Feb 2026	0.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
AviWin	Yes	1.21K
user45352452	Yes	632.78
That-Knitting	Yes	555.56

10 of 36 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between September 25 and November 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Videos posted within the final 7 days of this market's resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 7 days to be completed. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s posted YouTube videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced videos will not be considered.