
Resolved Yes on 30 Oct 2025.
$8.68K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 30 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 62%–72%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2025 | 67.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 336 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 70 |
| G3R3 | No | 40 |
| assertequal | No | 28 |
| swagalier9 | No | 20 |
| lissartter | No | 16.93 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 15 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 13 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 13 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another individual is arrested in direct connection with the October 19th robbery of the Louvre between October 27, 9:00 AM ET, and the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the robbery itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct — such as obstruction of justice, making false statements, possession, transport, or attempted sale of the stolen goods, or aiding concealment after the fact — will not qualify. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-another-louvre-heist-robber-be-arrested-by
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