Will another candidate win the Tunisia presidential election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 8, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.5M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 8, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 8 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2024 to 8 Oct 2024, the highest close was 3.5% on 1 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Oct 2024. $5.5M traded over the market's life.

4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 1:06 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Oct 2024 – 8 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	7.81K
andreww	Yes	1K
roki	Yes	10
Keen Atlas 3F14	Yes	10

4 of 4 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2024 Tunisia presidential election is scheduled to be held on October 6, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Kais Saied, Zouhair Maghzaoui, or Ayachi Zammel wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Tunisia Government, specifically Independent High Authority for Elections (Instance Supérieure Indépendante pour les Élections, ISIE, https://www.isie.tn/).