Will another candidate win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?

politicsResolved

No, settled Nov 4, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$424.8K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 4, 2024 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 12 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 12 Oct 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 12 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 0.7% on 13 Oct 2024. $424.77K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 7:07 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 12 Oct 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Oct 2024	12.5%
4 Nov 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	43.56K
Quiet Pulse 241E	Yes	1.9K
daggeralexander	Yes	120

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2024 Moldova presidential election is scheduled to be held on October 20, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Maia Sandu, Alexandr Stoianoglo, Renato Usatîi, Vasile Tarlev, Irina Vlah, or Ion Chicu wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the election results from the Moldovan Government, specifically the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală a Republicii Moldova, CEC, https://a.cec.md/).