Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 7% on 26 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 7% on 26 Nov 2024 and the low 0.2% on 2 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.6 points down, to 0.4% on 27 Nov 2024. $26.24K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 5, 12:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 26 Nov 2024 – 4 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2024 | 7.0% |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 104.35K |
| Quiet Ledger 3C8B | Yes | 149 |
| canyou | No | 1.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Presidential elections will be held in Namibia on November 27, 2024. If no candidate receives more than 50% in the first round, a second round will be scheduled. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, Panduleni Itula, McHenry Venaani, Henk Mudge, Bernadus Swartbooi, or Job Amupanda wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve solely based off the first official announcement of the winner of the election from the Namibian government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Namibia (ECN) (https://www.ecn.na/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/namibia-presidential-election
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